David Battisti
· Professor of Atmospheric SciencesUniversity of Washington · Atmospheric Sciences
Active 1981–2024
About
The faculty, staff and students in the Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science at the University of Washington are engaged in the study of a broad range of atmospheric phenomena and processes, using methods ranging from mathematical analysis to field experimentation. Research projects range in size from small studies involving individual scientists to large national and international programs involving teams of scientists. Research groups in the department are concerned with Atmospheric Chemistry, Atmospheric Dynamics, Boundary Layer Processes, Cloud and Aerosol Research, Glaciology and Planetary Atmospheres, Cloud Dynamics, Precipitation Processes, Storms, Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Climate, Global change, Airflow over mountains, and other topics. Some groups maintain special research facilities for the use of their students. In some of these activities, there is close cooperation with the University of Alaska Fairbanks, Oregon State University and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Regional Center through the Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean and Ecosystem Studies. Faculty members often have interests in more than one area, and research projects frequently involve questions of broad scope which do not fall neatly into a single category. This is particularly true of research projects directed toward understanding the chemical and physical modification of the environment by human activities.
Research topics
- Geology
- Oceanography
- Climatology
- Environmental science
- Atmospheric sciences
- Physics
- Geography
- Meteorology
- Natural resource economics
- Ecology
- Agroforestry
- Economics
- Paleontology
- Biology
Selected publications
Geophysical Research Letters · 2022 · 289 citations
Senior authorCorresponding- Climatology
- Environmental science
- Oceanography
Abstract Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a) intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific, consistent with Walker circulation strengthening, and (b) Southern Ocean cooling. In contrast, state‐of‐the‐art coupled climate models generally project enhanced warming in the eastern equatorial Pacific, Walker circulation weakening, and Southern Ocean warming. Here we investigate the ability of 16 climate model large ensembles to reproduce observed sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure trends over 1979–2020 through a combination of externally forced climate change and internal variability. We find large‐scale differences between observed and modeled trends that are very unlikely (<5% probability) to occur due to internal variability as represented in models. Disparate trends in the ratio of Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool to tropical‐mean warming, which shows little multi‐decadal variability in models, hint that model biases in the response to historical forcing constitute part of the discrepancy.
Data‐Model Comparisons of Tropical Hydroclimate Changes Over the Common Era
Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology · 2021 · 41 citations
- Climatology
- Geology
- Geography
Abstract We examine the evidence for large‐scale tropical hydroclimate changes over the Common Era based on a compilation of 67 tropical hydroclimate records from 55 sites and assess the consistency between the reconstructed hydroclimate changes and those simulated by transient model simulations of the last millennium. Our synthesis of the proxy records reveals several regionally coherent patterns on centennial time scales. From 800 to 1000 CE, records from the eastern Pacific and parts of Mesoamerica indicate a pronounced drying event relative to background conditions of the Common Era. In addition, 1400–1700 CE is marked by pronounced hydroclimate changes across the tropics, including dry and/or isotopically enriched conditions in South and East Asia, wet and/or isotopically depleted conditions in the central Andes and southern Amazon in South America, and fresher and/or isotopically depleted conditions in the Maritime Continent. We find notable dissimilarities between the regional hydroclimate changes and global‐scale and hemispheric‐scale temperature reconstructions, indicating that more work needs to be done to understand the mechanisms of the widespread tropical hydroclimate changes during the LIA. Apropos to previous interpretations of large‐scale reorganization of tropical Pacific climate during the LIA, we do not find support for a large‐scale southward shift of the Pacific Intertropical Convergence Zone, while evidence for a strengthened Pacific Walker Circulation and/or an equatorward contraction of the monsoonal Asian‐Australian rain belt exists from limited geographic regions but require additional paleoclimate constraints. Transient climate model simulations exhibit weak forced long‐term tropical rainfall changes over the last millennium but provide several important insights to the proxy reconstructions.
Projected increases in western US forest fire despite growing fuel constraints
Communications Earth & Environment · 2021 · 289 citations
- Environmental science
- Agroforestry
- Natural resource economics
Abstract Escalating burned area in western US forests punctuated by the 2020 fire season has heightened the need to explore near-term macroscale forest-fire area trajectories. As fires remove fuels for subsequent fires, feedbacks may impose constraints on the otherwise climate-driven trend of increasing forest-fire area. Here, we test how fire-fuel feedbacks moderate near-term (2021–2050) climate-driven increases in forest-fire area across the western US. Assuming constant fuels, climate–fire models project a doubling of forest-fire area compared to 1991–2020. Fire-fuel feedbacks only modestly attenuate the projected increase in forest-fire area. Even models with strong feedbacks project increasing interannual variability in forest-fire area and more than a two-fold increase in the likelihood of years exceeding the 2020 fire season. Fuel limitations from fire-fuel feedbacks are unlikely to strongly constrain the profound climate-driven broad-scale increases in forest-fire area by the mid-21st century, highlighting the need for proactive adaptation to increased western US forest-fire impacts.
Robust Longitudinally Variable Responses of the ITCZ to a Myriad of Climate Forcings
Geophysical Research Letters · 2020 · 68 citations
- Climatology
- Atmospheric sciences
- Environmental science
Abstract We evaluate the longitudinal variation in meridional shifts of the tropical rainbelt in response to natural and anthropogenic forcings using a large suite of coupled climate model simulations. We find that the energetic framework of the zonal mean Hadley cell is generally not useful for characterizing shifts of the rainbelt at regional scales, regardless of the characteristics of the forcing. Forcings with large hemispheric asymmetry such as extratropical volcanic forcing, meltwater forcing, and the Last Glacial Maximum give rise to robust zonal mean shifts of the rainbelt; however, the direction and magnitude of the shift vary strongly as a function of longitude. Even the Pacific rainband does not shift uniformly under any forcing considered. Forcings with weak hemispheric asymmetry such as CO 2 and mid‐Holocene forcing give rise to zonal mean shifts that are small or absent, but the rainbelt does shift regionally in coherent ways across models that may have important dynamical consequences.
Journal of Climate · 2020 · 170 citations
- Climatology
- Environmental science
- Atmospheric sciences
Abstract Radiative feedbacks depend on the spatial patterns of sea surface temperature (SST) and thus can change over time as SST patterns evolve—the so-called pattern effect. This study investigates intermodel differences in the magnitude of the pattern effect and how these differences contribute to the spread in effective equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) within CMIP5 and CMIP6 models. Effective ECS in CMIP5 estimated from 150-yr-long abrupt4×CO2 simulations is on average 10% higher than that estimated from the early portion (first 50 years) of those simulations, which serves as an analog for historical warming; this difference is reduced to 7% on average in CMIP6. The (negative) net radiative feedback weakens over the course of the abrupt4×CO2 simulations in the vast majority of CMIP5 and CMIP6 models, but this weakening is less dramatic on average in CMIP6. For both ensembles, the total variance in the effective ECS is found to be dominated by the spread in radiative response on fast time scales, rather than the spread in feedback changes. Using Green’s functions derived from two AGCMs shows that the spread in feedbacks on fast time scales may be primarily due to differences in atmospheric model physics, whereas the spread in feedback evolution is primarily governed by differences in SST patterns. Intermodel spread in feedback evolution is well explained by differences in the relative warming in the west Pacific warm-pool regions for the CMIP5 models, but this relation fails to explain differences across the CMIP6 models, suggesting that a stronger sensitivity of extratropical clouds to surface warming may also contribute to feedback changes in CMIP6.
Fascinating life sciences · 2020 · 70 citations
- Ecology
- Climatology
- Geography
Recent grants
NSF · $463k · 2009–2013
NSF · $304k · 2012–2015
Variability in the Rate and Pattern of Global Warming: Forced and Unforced Components
NSF · $282k · 2019–2022
NSF · $341k · 2021–2025
Frequent coauthors
- 80 shared
Aaron Donohoe
University of Washington
- 69 shared
Anthony C. Hirst
- 64 shared
Fei‐Fei Jin
University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa
- 64 shared
Yoshinobu Wakata
Kyushu University
- 64 shared
J. David Neelin
University of California, Los Angeles
- 64 shared
Stephen E. Zebiak
- 64 shared
Toshio Yamagata
Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology
- 59 shared
Kyle C. Armour
Education
- 1984
Ph.D., Atmospheric Sciences
University of Washington
- 1981
M.S., Atmospheric Sciences
University of Washington
- 1977
B.S., Atmospheric Sciences
University of California, Berkeley
Awards & honors
- Whos who in the West 1995, 1996
- Whos who in America 1997
- Golden Citation Award (Australia) 1995
- Recipient, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences Annual Teaching Awa…
- Houghton Lecturer, MIT 1999
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