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Foster Provost

· Associate Professor and NEC Faculty Fellow, Department of Information, Operations and Management Sciences

New York University · Mathematics

Active 1956–2026

h-index60
Citations19.6k
Papers25925 last 5y
Funding

Academic metrics are sourced from OpenAlex and public funding records; values may differ from Google Scholar.

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Research topics

  • Machine Learning
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Science
  • Econometrics
  • Business
  • Risk analysis (engineering)
  • Economics
  • Mathematics
  • Psychology
  • Data science

Selected publications

  • Explaining Data-Driven Decisions made by AI Systems: The Counterfactual Approach

    arXiv (Cornell University) · 2020 · 54 citations

    We examine counterfactual explanations for explaining the decisions made by model-based AI systems. The counterfactual approach we consider defines an explanation as a set of the system's data inputs that causally drives the decision (i.e., changing the inputs in the set changes the decision) and is irreducible (i.e., changing any subset of the inputs does not change the decision). We (1) demonstrate how this framework may be used to provide explanations for decisions made by general, data-drive…

  • Causal Decision Making and Causal Effect Estimation Are Not the Same…and Why It Matters

    INFORMS Journal on Data Science · 2022 · 49 citations

    Senior authorCorresponding

    Causal decision making (CDM) at scale has become a routine part of business, and increasingly, CDM is based on statistical models and machine learning algorithms. Businesses algorithmically target offers, incentives, and recommendations to affect consumer behavior. Recently, we have seen an acceleration of research related to CDM and causal effect estimation (CEE) using machine-learned models. This article highlights an important perspective: CDM is not the same as CEE, and counterintuitively, a…

  • Explaining Data-Driven Decisions made by AI Systems: The Counterfactual Approach

    MIS Quarterly · 2022-09-01 · 42 citations

    article

    We examine counterfactual explanations for explaining the decisions made by model-based AI systems. The counterfactual approach we consider defines an explanation as a set of the system’s data inputs that causally drives the decision (i.e., changing the inputs in the set changes the decision) and is irreducible (i.e., changing any subset of the inputs does not change the decision). We (1) demonstrate how this framework may be used to provide explanations for decisions made by general data-driven…

  • A Comparison of Methods for Treatment Assignment with an Application to Playlist Generation

    Information Systems Research · 2022-08-02 · 11 citations

    article

    This study presents a systematic comparison of methods for individual treatment assignment. We group the various methods proposed in the literature into three general classes of algorithms (or metalearners): learning models to predict outcomes (the O-learner), learning models to predict causal effects (the E-learner), and learning models to predict optimal treatment assignments (the A-learner). We discuss how the metalearners differ in their level of generality and their objective function, whic…

  • Node classification over bipartite graphs through projection

    Machine Learning · 2020-07-28 · 5 citations

    articleOpen accessSenior author

Frequent coauthors

  • Carlos Fernández-Loría

    29 shared
  • Claudia Perlich

    Two Sigma Investments (United States)

    25 shared
  • David Martens

    25 shared
  • Tom Fawcett

    University of Edinburgh

    19 shared
  • B D'Alessandro

    Canfield Scientific (United States)

    16 shared
  • Sofus A. Macskassy

    Torch Technologies (United States)

    15 shared
  • Panagiotis G. Ipeirotis

    New York University

    15 shared
  • Maytal Saar‐Tsechansky

    The University of Texas at Austin

    13 shared

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