
Christopher Wlezien
University of Texas at Austin · Political Science
Active 1970–2026
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About
Christopher Wlezien is the Hogg Professor of Government at the University of Texas at Austin, within the College of Liberal Arts. His research focuses on public opinion, public policy, political institutions, elections, mass media, and research methods. As a distinguished faculty member, he contributes to the academic community through his expertise in these areas, engaging in scholarly activities that explore the dynamics of political behavior and institutional processes.
Research topics
- Political Science
- Computer Science
- Microeconomics
- Econometrics
- Law
- Economics
- Operations management
- Public relations
- Public administration
- Mathematics
Selected publications
2022 · 49 citations
Senior authorCorrespondingAround the world, there are increasing concerns about the accuracy of media coverage. It is vital in representative democracies that citizens have access to reliable information about what is happening in government policy, so that they can form meaningful preferences and hold politicians accountable. Yet much research and conventional wisdom questions whether the necessary information is available, consumed, and understood. This study is the first large-scale empirical investigation into the fr…
Election forecasting: Too far out?
International Journal of Forecasting · 2020 · 30 citations
Senior authorCorrespondingInformation, incentives, and goals in election forecasts
Judgment and Decision Making · 2020 · 29 citations
Abstract Presidential elections can be forecast using information from political and economic conditions, polls, and a statistical model of changes in public opinion over time. However, these “knowns” about how to make a good presidential election forecast come with many unknowns due to the challenges of evaluating forecast calibration and communication. We highlight how incentives may shape forecasts, and particularly forecast uncertainty, in light of calibration challenges. We illustrate these…
Media Reflect! Policy, the Public, and the News
American Political Science Review · 2023-09-28 · 28 citations
articleOpen access1st authorCorrespondingMass media are often portrayed as having large effects on democratic politics. Media content is not simply an exogenous influence on publics and policymakers, however. There is reason to think that this content reflects publics and politics as much as—if not more than—it affects them. This letter examines those possibilities, focusing on interactions between news coverage, budgetary policy, and public preferences in the defense, welfare, and health-care domains in the United States. Results indi…
News and Public Opinion: Which Comes First?
The Journal of Politics · 2023-07-26 · 17 citations
article1st authorCorrespondingMuch research demonstrates a positive association between news coverage and public opinion, both perceptions and preferences. While this relationship is clear, what accounts for it is not. The assumption in most previous research is that media causes public opinion. But there is reason to expect that the causality runs in the other direction as well. In this article, I describe the logic of two-way flows and then undertake an analysis of three different cases of US public opinion over time—econo…
Recent grants
Collaborative Research: Mass Media and Representative Democracy
NSF · $88k · 2017–2021
Frequent coauthors
- 87 shared
Stuart Soroka
- 71 shared
Robert S. Erikson
Columbia University
- 32 shared
Will Jennings
University of Southampton
- 29 shared
Joseph Bafumi
Dartmouth College
- 28 shared
James Adams
University of California, Davis
- 23 shared
Simon Weschle
- 14 shared
Michael S. Lewis‐Beck
University of Iowa
- 13 shared
Costas Panagopoulos
Labs
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